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Genscape Estimates NOPA Crush for June 2017 at 138 Million Bushels

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After adding the Louis-Dreyfus Claypool, Indiana, plant to our model, Genscape estimated that the National Oilseed Processors Association (NOPA) members crushed 138 million bushels during June 2017. This matched the NOPA release announced on July 17. The Louis-Dreyfus plant addition increased Genscape’s monitoring coverage of the the Indiana, Kentucky, Ohio, and Michigan (IKOM) region by over 50 percent.
 
Prior to factoring in the Louis-Dreyfus plant into the model, Genscape’s NOPA estimate came in at 135.6 million bushels for June, down from 149 million bushels in May 2017. This was also down 10.3 million bushels from June 2017. The initial estimate was approximately 6 million bushels better than average trade expectations.Genscape estimated that the IKOM and Illinois regions experienced the most significant drops from last month and last year. IKOM saw a 11 percent decrease from last month while the Illinois region saw a decrease of 26 percent from last month.

The majority of the overall decrease from March is explained by a significant increase in plant outages. According to Genscape’s proprietary, physical monitoring and industry sources, in June, 14.5 million bushels were not processed due to plant outages. The most significant increase in outages occurred in the Illinois region where there were 5.2 million more outage bushels. The Iowa, Minnesota, and SW regions each saw about 1.72 million more outage bushels than in March. The total outage bushels this month were almost identical to April 2016. Genscape data indicated that the base processing rate before outages was 5.0 million bushels lower in June than May.

Genscape’s first July outlook became available to clients on July 19 and they will receive daily updates until the final July outlook on August 3. Genscape's Soybean Crush Report provides these updates, national outlooks, and outage data based on observations from key soybean processing facilities. The report also includes timely, impactful data that assists our clients in making better-informed decisions. To learn more about Genscape's Soybean Crush Report, please click here.

Genscape and NOPA national monthly totals


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